Friday, June 1, 2007

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Summer of the three Brigades endless civil wars

Antonio Ferrari - What is coming summer could be terrible for the entire Middle East. If in the past, acted as an anesthetic in a bloody conflict for all other situations of regional tension, the opposite is true today, with the greatest risk of having to watch helplessly three simultaneous civil wars (Palestine, Lebanon and Iraq). Three civil wars
multiplied by the superpower and the growing Iranian arrogance. The crises are inevitably intertwined in fact, as the violence in the Palestinian refugee camp of Nahr el-Bared in northern Lebanon, are dimostrando.Eancora once, causes, excuses and alibis crowd on Palestine. The last ceasefire, announced in Gaza, is much less of an illusion because the attacks and revenge between inter-fundamentalists of Hamas and the secular Fatah appear to have entered the most dangerous phase. The situation in the Strip, is uncontrollable, "and we are not able to govern," he admitted frankly, at the top of the World Economic Forum Dead Sea, the information minister Saeb Erekat PNA.
anarchy reigns in Gaza. With ambushes, shootings, sieges and attacks, such as that which had been prepared against the president Abu Mazen, who strives to show that he is a prisoner of the extremists, and not only be the "mayor" of Ramallah. AbuMazen, tragic figure, is weak, weak as it is actually the present government of Israel, and how the international community appears to be weak, dazed and helpless in the face of disaster that is taking place. AlForum tenderness was almost the king of Jordan, while announcing that the world should "prepare for the day after reaching of peace. "
It was not a statement dictated by unrealistic optimism, but the attempt, almost desperate to shake actors and supporting actors in a play collectively. King Abdullah, who leads a country that has 65 percent of the population of Palestinian origin, who comprise more than any other if it is not an agreement, "immediately, within one year" to reopen a breath of negotiation, all rush, and it will fade with the vision of "two states, Israel and Palestine, living side by side in peace and security", upon which words-to-everyone agrees. The attempt of the king is to combine the cooling of the conflict Inter-Palestinian conflict, and realization of the Arab plan, approved in Riyadh from the 22 countries belonging to the League, and in the meantime to help the suffering people of Gaza with economic measures that allow to bleed, at least in part, the tensions. Encouraging, for example, the creation of a Business Council with many Palestinians and 15 Israeli businessmen.
I ncoraggiante also the decision of the emir of Du bai , Al Maktoum, to allocate $ 10 billion for education, research and professional development of young Arabs in the region. But these initiatives, while laudable, does not allay the hatred that tear the fragile and already compromised political fabric of the PNA. From Gaza, with rockets extremists hammered the settlement of Sderot, and Israel responded with raids and targeted killings. The Strip is a jungle, and thought the deployment of an international peacekeeping force is "ridiculous," wrote columnist Jordanian Musa Keilani. "We must start with us, helping us alone," echoed Erekat said the Palestinian minister, then ask for support from others, beginning with the Arab brothers.
But they think the Saudis to curb the excessive power Iranian and Syrian neutralize the maneuvers of Lebanon, supporting Prime Minister Fuad by any means so far and its allies. Damascus fears that the international trial on the murder of Rafik Hariri, is ready to do anything to prevent it. The Iraq seems to be the prey of too many desires and the ideal ground for a devastating conflict between Shiites and Sunnis. Ela challenge Tehran's nuclear remembers the nightmare of a general war. The scenario is frightening, "but we must take action together. And do something. Now, "warned King Abdullah. How can we not agree with him?

by Corriere della Sera

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